A lot of you are probably wondering why I haven’t been blogging as much as I did on my football site last season, so let me explain. Most of you probably don’t know this, but I actually came in about 170th place in baseball last year, a full 169 spots worse than my goal. So, this season I decided to switch it up a bit and abandon my strategies in favor of exclusive reliance on the advice of my fellow blogger Jocelyn.

So far a week of q-max explanations, chin music clarifications, and backpack jokes has left me in 5,921st place. I think I’m going to go back to doing this myself.

This year’s escalating transaction fees leave two viable strategies: 1) build up a big roster value, set a stud lineup, and stick with it, or 2) sacrifice some rotobucks for the privilege of playing the day-to-day matchups. Due to people around here giving me “work” to do when I’m trying to trade, my team value is not as high as I’d like so I’ll be going with option 2.

There are two things you need to know to play the match-ups. For pitchers, it’s fairly easy, just identify the worst offenses in baseball (quick hint: Giants, Padres, Cardinals, Pirates, Mariners, Twins). Hitters are a little more difficult because you’re trying to identify the worst pitchers in baseball, and there are a lot more pitchers than there are teams. So, to get started here are 14 pitchers that I project to allow 15% more RotoHog points per inning than the average MLB starter. If you see one of your favorite players up against these guys, I suggest you get him into your lineup. Starting with the worst:

Name Team
Steve Trachsel BAL
Mark Redman COL
Nick Blackburn MIN
Livan Hernandez MIN
Brian Burres BAL
Franklin Morales COL
Kyle Kendrick PHI
John Danks CWS
Odalis Perez WAS
Paul Byrd CLE
Josh Fogg CIN
Tom Glavine ATL
Adam Eaton PHI
Mike Hampton ATL

Feel free to leave me a scathing comment about how good Morales is (with his 5.50+ career ERA in the minors), or how Glavine’s still got it (4.06, 4.17, 4.48, ….), this is my list. There are plenty of bad SPs out there, and there will always be more coming up throughout the year, but this is my starting point when it comes to hitter selection.

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Profile: Analyst. Number cruncher. Wunderkind. Whatever you want to call him, he knows how to play the game. A proud Jayhawk, Justin was born in Lawrence and graduated from the University of Kansas. He developed weeklyprojections.com and dailyprojections.com to share his system with thousands of Rotohog.com players. After a big Top 10 finish last year, he got called up to the big leagues and joined the Rotohog.com front office. When he’s not creating unusually elaborate spreadsheets for fantasy sports, he’s cheering on the Jayhawks and waiting for the Royals to do the impossible.

Born: Lawrence, Kansas

Favorite Sport College football; it’s what Saturdays were made for.

Sports Played: Tennis, Running, Softball, Kickball

Favorite Sports Moments: Seeing Kansas win the 2008 Orange Bowl in Miami; (Barely) completing the 2006 Chicago Marathon; Seeing Kansas play at the 2002 and 2003 Final Fours.

Favorite Sports Quote: "When we score seven points, I’ll say we’re slow starting. If we score 21 points, I’ll say, ‘Whoa, we scored a lot of points.’ Twenty-one points – that’s a lot of points. Thirty points? That isn’t even a football game. That’s Arena Football. We’re talking about real football.” –Herm Edwards, Kansas City Chiefs head coach

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